COVID-19 cases up in 21 states as new model predicts ‘huge surge’


The number of COVID-19 cases in the US rose by at least 10 percent in 21 states last week — while a new model predicts a “huge surge” is expected to impact more Americans as early as next month.

New infections accelerated mainly in the West, according to a CNN analysis of Johns Hopkins University data, although some eastern outliers like North Carolina and New Jersey also saw upticks.

The states where infections are rising include Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington state, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

Another 18 states saw their rates hold steady, while just 11 — including Florida, Connecticut and New Hampshire — saw new cases of COVID-19 decrease by more than 10 percent from a week earlier, according to the report.

Meanwhile, the country could see a “huge surge” in cases starting in October — and increasing through November and December — as people spend more time inside where there’s a higher likelihood of transmitting the bug, Dr. Chris Murray, director of the University of Washington’s Institute for Health and Metrics and Evaluation told CNN.

The US is currently tallying roughly 765 coronavirus deaths per day — but that figure could nearly quadruple to 3,000 daily fatalities by December, according to IHME’s model.

The bleak analysis also comes just days after a study found that less than 10 percent of Americans have COVID-19 antibodies, suggesting the nation is further off from herd immunity than researchers initially thought, the New York Times reports.

Medical staff discuss the coronavirus over video call.


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